This page last updated on: 21/1/20 Why not listen to A Fire Is Burning by The Oysterband?
- Page Guide
- !Beware the Paris Narrative!
- Hottest Links -quick reference
- Young Adult Links -quick reference
- Hottest Links reviews
- Link to full alphabetical list of Climate Crisis Science, News and Policy Sites & Online Literature here.
- Link to Climate Psychology and Ecology-based Mental Health Sites & Online Literature here because the truth is hard to deal with.
- Link to Climate- and Eco- Activism Sites & Online Literature (how to act on the climate and ecological crisis) here.
- Free workbook Fire! Fire! Fire! on how to communicate the climate crisis to different groups and types of people, and (if you want) how to communicate the need for civil disobedience as a response to the crisis.
Watch out for the flash of pink in the compendium page codes below. The pink codes indicate pages that have been updated within the past three days (since the date written above, which is as close to today as I can manage!). As you are a hot and heroic activist I know you sometimes need to cut through to the most up-to-date relevant information as quickly as possible.
Literature titled in blue indicates a mental health risk. Make sure you don’t keep this traumatic information to yourself! It needs processing, including by sharing with others. For more on mental health and the climate and ecological crisis, visit this directory page.
The hottest links and sites for young adults are on this page –key climate data and the full list of sites and literature follows in alphabetical order on a separate page here. For hot climate-related YouTube videos on my free channel, go here. But first, please read this:
!BEWARE THE ‘PARIS NARRATIVE’!
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is a useful scientific body as a starting point for the interpretation of climate-related data. Their best-case target of a 1.5C limit to warming ‘above pre-industrial levels’ (levels in the revised baseline year of 1850) is acceptable, and their raw data and climate modelling is taken as a good, although conservative starting point for the lay activist.
However, note this excerpt from the Australian May 2019 report Existential climate-related security risk (listed in the hottest links below):
‘[IPCC] Assessment Reports exhibit a one-sided reliance on general climate models, which incorporate important climate processes, but do not include all of the processes that can contribute to system feedbacks, compound extreme events, and abrupt and/or irreversible changes. Other forms of knowledge are downplayed, including paleoclimatology, expert advice, and semi-empirical models. IPCC reports present detailed, quantified, complex modelling results, but then briefly note more severe, non- linear, system-change possibilities in a descriptive, non-quantified form.’
Additionally, IPCC scenarios and literature downplay the fact that 3 degrees of warming (Anthropogenic Global Warming or AGW) above pre-industrial levels, by the year 2100 is already locked in to the Earth’s climate (barring an industrial miracle -see below), although it hasn’t fully unfolded yet. This is largely due to ‘climate lag’.
This means that all IPCC 1.5-2C global scenarios and recommended pathways for governments rely on global-scale, unproven carbon reduction technologies -mainly ‘BECCS’ technologies that take CO2 out of the atmosphere. ‘BECCS’ stands for Bio-energy with Carbon Capture and Storage. This unprecedented technological revolution, requiring unprecedented global co-operation, would need to launch within the next ten years, and there are no signs whatsoever of it happening. In fact, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions were at their highest ever in 2018 and showed no signs of slowing.
It is this fairy-tale narrative of ‘mass carbon reduction’ that defined the non-binding inter-governmental Paris Agreement of 2015. According to the ‘Paris Narrative’, all carbon dioxide emissions reductions pathways towards 1.5-2C rely on the science fiction of the massive, expensive and as yet non-existent industrial revolution of BECCS and other CCS methods. This is why 2025-2030 is the appropriate target for reducing global carbon emissions to zero, not 2050 as put forward by the BECCS-dependent Paris Narrative. A 2025-2030 global target requires nothing less than a movement of global mass civil disobedience to challenge and revolutionise our political and economic systems and our energy infrastructures. Belief in the Paris Narrative will have us sleep-walking into a 3+ degree warmer world, which some experts say is incompatible with organised human life. Beware the Paris Narrative! Paris Narrative warnings, where institutions / websites are obviously reliant on the Paris Narrative, are marked in the Well Hunted, Well Gathered directory thus: !Paris!
Hottest Links -Climate Crisis Science, News and Policy Sites, & Online Literature, plus Young Adult Links
Scroll down below the Young Adult Links Quick Reference list for more information on Hottest Links and Young Adult Links, including full Epic Tomorrows’ reviews and activist strategy notes. Sites which are very good at busting climate deniers are marked !Denial Busters!
- WHWGCC9: Carbon Brief: https://www.carbonbrief.org/ -Clear on climate
- WHWGCC21: Climate Denial Crock of the Week: https://climatecrocks.com/ -with Peter Sinclair !Denial Busters!
- WHWGCC29: Climate Signals: https://www.climatesignals.org/ -Explore how climate change affects your world by searching events, impacts, and related climate signals -key climate data
- WHWGCC32: CO2.Earth: https://www.co2.earth/ -Are we stabilizing yet? –key climate data
- ALS1: Deep Adaptation: (by Prof. Jem Bendell): http://lifeworth.com/deepadaptation.pdf -Extended entry listed in Activist Life Strategy resources
- WHWGCC33: DeSmog: https://www.desmogblog.com/ -Clearing the PR pollution that clouds climate science !Denial Busters!
- WHWGCC37: Existential climate-related security risk (report) https://docs.wixstatic.com/ugd/148cb0_a1406e0143ac4c469196d3003bc1e687.pdf
- WHWGCC46: Global Forest Watch -Fires http://fires.globalforestwatch.org/home/ -View fire statistics for any country -key climate data
- WHWGCC57: M Herrera –Extreme temperatures around the world http://www.mherrera.org/temp.htm -the most reliable and updated collection of extreme temperatures on the web!
- WHWGCC60: National Snow and Ice Data Center: https://nsidc.org/ -Advancing knowledge of Earth’s frozen regions -key climate data
- WHWGCC62: Paul Beckwith, Climate System Scientist: https://paulbeckwith.net/ – Abrupt Climate Change from Arctic to Antarctic: Facts, Opinions, and Analysis
- WHWGCC69: Skeptical Science: https://skepticalscience.com/ -Getting skeptical about global warming skepticism !Denial Busters!
- WHWGCC73: The Great White Con: http://greatwhitecon.info/ -Putting the Arctic sea ice record straight
- WHWGCC74: Trillionth Tonne: http://trillionthtonne.org/ -Explaining the need to limit cumulative emissions of carbon dioxide
YOUNG ADULT LINKS -QUICK REFERENCE
- WHWGCC5: Antarctic Glaciers http://www.antarcticglaciers.org/ –Explaining the science of Antarctic glaciology
- WHWGCC28: ClimateSight https://climatesight.org/ -Climate science from the inside
- WHWGCC49: Grist https://grist.org/ -A beacon in the smog
- WHWGCC59: NASA Climate Kids https://climatekids.nasa.gov/
- WHWGCC71: The Daily Climate https://www.dailyclimate.org/ -News for a changing planet
HOTTEST LINKS -REVIEWS
Existential climate-related security risk
Dunlop, I. and Spratt, D. (May 2019) Breakthrough – National Centre for Climate Restoration, Melbourne, Australia. email@example.com
excerpt: ‘…to sustain human civilisation, it is essential to build a zero emissions industrial system very quickly. This requires the global mobilisation of resources on an emergency basis, akin to a wartime level of response.’
Epic Tomorrows’ review: Includes a forward by Admiral Chris Barrie, a member of the Global Military Advisory Council on Climate Change and Chief of the Australian Defence Force from 1998 to 2002. This report is concise, very readable and relatively free from jargon. The gist of it is that IPCC projections (key data for the Climate COPs, the latest being COP25 in Madrid) are way too conservative, excluding or downplaying extreme scenarios for the sake of political consensus on action.
When the end of civilisation is at stake, Dunlop and Spratt argue that conventional risk management as done by organisations etc, becomes irrelevant. Risk management by responding to possibilities (by scenario planning) rather than high probabilities, could be the best way forward.
A 2050 scenario is then sketched. Based on scientific data the report argues that we could be looking at the collapse of global civilisation by 2050, due to ‘high-impact low probability warming’ of 3 degrees by this date, with 2 more degrees of warming locked in. This is the projected scenario if global emissions don’t peak until 2030 (which by my reckoning doesn’t seem that unlikely, looking at the latest Climate COP in Madrid, and with one of the worst global emitters, the USA, poised to leave the Paris Agreement. Even the Paris Agreement relies on unproven technologies!). The 2050 scenario ultimate result…’a high likelihood of human civilisation coming to an end.’
In summary the report emphasises that security bodies (armies etc) are uniquely placed to mobilise and order the WWII level global infrastructure transformation that is needed to transition rapidly away from fossil fuel economies…Let us make sure that any military-led transformation of global energy infrastructures is decided democratically, with full co-operation of citizens globally, or what freedoms might be curtailed, and what human rights abuses may result?
activist strategy notes: Military and security force collaboration is key to the success of any revolutionary social movement, such as the one needed to force governments into WWII level mobilisation on the ecological and climate emergency. This could be a key text to persuade military personnel of the need for immediate action.
tactics: Try printing off this report and handing it to soldiers. I once trespassed into an army barracks with a megaphone to proclaim the climate emergency, but I didn’t have copies of this on me, unfortunately. Also try emailing this report to all military institutions in your country.
vegan dynamics: Consider what an urgent security forces-led mass transformation of agricultural systems from meat-based to plant-based would look like. Can you educate security forces now on plant-based agriculture as well as the ‘Existential….’ report?
life strategy notes: Bring a bit of ‘military organisation’ and toughness into your own life. Remain non-violent towards all life. (The window of a fossil-fuelled bank isn’t alive).
Skeptical Science: https://skepticalscience.com/
-Getting skeptical about global warming skepticism
[no direct email contact]
excerpt: ‘Scientific skepticism is healthy. Scientists should always challenge themselves to improve their understanding. Yet this isn’t what happens with climate change denial. Skeptics vigorously criticise any evidence that supports man-made global warming and yet embrace any argument, op-ed, blog or study that purports to refute global warming. This website gets skeptical about global warming skepticism. Do their arguments have any scientific basis? What does the peer reviewed scientific literature say?’
Epic Tomorrows’ review: The point is made on this site that genuine scientific skepticism is a good thing, and essential for the development of scientific understanding. However, man-made climate change denialism is not healthy skepticism. ‘Skepticism is a process, denial is a position’.
The Skeptical Science site is based on peer-reviewed science, and although started as a blog is highly professional and has won awards for communication in climate science. A year or so ago, I would occasionally have severe doubts about Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) after reading a particularly clever climate denialist paper. Returning to this site would always set me straight again.
The site is colourful, user-friendly and as light-hearted as possible whilst explaining serious science. It includes some graphics and pages that young adults may find fun (see the Best Sites for Young Adults list further down the page).
There is a regular feed of peer reviewed science articles on the front-page. The main climate myths (arguments used by AGW denialists) are listed conveniently down the left hand side of the front-page. There are ‘basic’, ‘intermediate’ and ‘advanced’ explanations of all myths.
Includes selected content in 24 other languages.
Key page on site: ’10 Indicators of a Human Fingerprint on Climate Change’
external review: https://thebulletin.org/2019/08/millions-of-times-later-97-percent-climate-consensus-still-faces-denial/ (not a review as such, but a good endorsement of the team at Skeptical Science).
activist strategy notes: It’s obvious that any social movement that is attempting to transform government and public opinion, must be based on the soundest science and must be able to communicate this effectively i.e. must have an excellent media & messaging strategy. Messy communication will lead to a messy understanding and thus diluted support for a movement. As an activist I would advise getting your main climate science information from just a few high quality, regularly updated peer-reviewed websites. Less is more.
tactics: Throughout this directory there will be many references to Extinction Rebellion (XR) -the only social movement I have had extensive experience of so far. XR is a useful reference point for movements attempting to respond to the global climate (and general ecological) crisis. As with any movement, there’s good and there’s stuff to improve on. Regarding climate science communication, I was dismayed to see XR jump on the IPCC Paris Narrative (!) bandwagon of saying ‘We have 12 (now 11) years to turn things around’. This vague rhetoric is a sloppy departure from the original hard-hitting talk of XR and a massive dilution of XR’s message and therefore call for support. It leads the public to believe that we will all be okay if we follow the IPCC’s recommendations, which is not actually XR’s position at all. Poor tactic!
life strategy notes: Don’t have too much science in your life. Get some art!